10
Konig Chouchen
14yo Gelding · 9-1
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Le Mans | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 25/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 04/03/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 23% | -0.03 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |