6
Nantika
5yo Filly · 9-3
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 46% | -0.09 |
| 10/08/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 53% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |
| 26/09/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 16/10/2025 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 21/04/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.25 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |