7

Pluie D'araize

7yo Mare · 9-3

Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 29/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 12929/11C?C0 @ Pornichet 05/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 132C0 @ Pornichet 19/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 13219/12C?C0 @ Deauville 29/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1314 @ Deauville 08/01/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1318/0144 @ Pornichet 24/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 1244 @ Pornichet 18/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 12718/0244 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f199y Hvy 1274 @ Senonnes-Pouance 13/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Hvy 13013/034projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-13Senonnes-Pouance411th11th0
2026-03-04Le Mans49th9th0
2026-02-18Pornichet48th8th0
2026-01-24Pornichet42nd2nd0
2026-01-08Deauville416th16th0
2025-12-29Deauville?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1129/1218/0213/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/20257th18/15%33%+0.28
05/12/202514th40/10%0%0.00
19/12/20251st40/10%100%+1.00
29/12/202511th20/10%33%+0.33
08/01/202616th50/10%0%0.00
24/01/20262nd25/10%93%+0.93
18/02/20268th14/126%50%+0.24
04/03/20269th20/10%38%+0.38
13/03/202611th18/15%33%+0.28