4
Superclass
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix De La Roche Aux Fees Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 27/02/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |