2
My Secret Light
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Du Chateau Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/10
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |