6

Nice Ruler
5yo Gelding · 9-2
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Du Chateau Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Angers | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 02/08/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.21 |
| 05/09/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.02 |