1
Odin Normandy
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Du Chateau Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 54% | -0.04 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/02/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 44% | -0.38 |
| 01/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |