10
Podia Daz
7yo Mare · 8-9
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Du Chateau Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 14/08/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/07/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 21/07/2026 | 14th | 15/2 | 61% | 7% | -0.53 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |