7
Shalaa Dancer
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Du Chateau Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |