9
Spring Bank
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Du Chateau Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 11/06/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |