6
Baieta
3yo Filly · 8-12
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Murphy Herbal Maiden Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 9.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 28/04/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 13% | -0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 12/07/2026 | 16th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |