4

Bymoon

3yo Filly · 8-12

Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Murphy Herbal Maiden Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

44%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Malo 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12418/08C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1244/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers?7th7th0
2026-08-18Saint-Malo?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%

Delivery trend -36.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20264th33/10%70%+0.70
04/09/20267th40/10%33%+0.33