4
Mention Extra
4yo Filly · 10-7
Senonnes-Pouance · Prix M.t.m. Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Craon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Pau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |