1

Mid Star

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Senonnes-Pouance · Prix Des Dragages Du Val De Loire Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Argentan 26/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 14126/06C5C5 @ Craon 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1476/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Craon?2nd2nd0
2025-06-26Argentan?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
06/09/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36