4
J'adore Celeste
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 7 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 09/12/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/12/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 77% | -0.05 |