1
Jason Gede
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 7 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2024 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/03/2024 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 01/06/2024 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 23/07/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |
| 11/11/2024 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 24/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |