8
Jerry Quick
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength36%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 17/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 20/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |