6
Jirardiere Merite
7yo Mare · 0-0
Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Saint Galmier | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Lyon La Soie | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 03/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |