9

Jofesca Buissonay

7yo Mare · 0-0

Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 31/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 031/05C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 06/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 025/10C?C0 @ Saint Brieuc 05/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m7f144y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 23/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 023/12C?6 @ Lyon La Soie 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 02/0766 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 06 @ Pornichet 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 027/086projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Pornichet63rd3rd0
2026-07-25Le Mans65th5th0
2026-07-02Lisieux61st1st0
2026-06-18Caen60
2026-02-11Vincennes?0
2026-02-06Argentan5+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/055/122/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20252nd11/486%93%+0.08
06/08/20256th5/174%50%-0.24
25/10/20252nd15/261%92%+0.32
05/12/20252nd8/158%91%+0.33
23/12/20252nd9/276%94%+0.17
17/01/20263rd5/287%87%-0.00
02/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
25/07/20265th28/10%67%+0.67
27/08/20263rd10/147%83%+0.36