2
Joyeux Des Sources
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Vichy | 7 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | 7 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Nantes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-07 | Chartres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2023 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 04/08/2023 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 46% | -0.30 |
| 02/06/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 25/07/2024 | 13th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 07/05/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 15/11/2025 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.12 |