5
Julian Dark
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Reims | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Nancy | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-17 | Lyon La Soie | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 24/04/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/06/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |