3

Justify My Love

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix De Noiretable - Attele · 1m 6f 146y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint Galmier 22/07/2023 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 022/07C?C0 @ Feurs 20/09/2023 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 11/02/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 011/02C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 17/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 017/06C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 19/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 019/07C?6 @ Saint Galmier 12/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 03/06C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Marseille-borely?4th4th0
2026-05-15Marseille-borely60
2026-03-12Saint Galmier68th8th0
2025-10-09Lyon-Parilly?0
2025-09-17Lyon-Parilly?0
2025-04-07Feurs?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/072/0419/073/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20233rd11/271%87%+0.16
20/09/20236th22/10%67%+0.67
11/02/20242nd11/142%93%+0.51
02/04/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
17/06/20242nd33/10%93%+0.93
29/06/20242nd10/147%93%+0.46
19/07/20247th10/147%40%-0.07
12/03/20268th33/10%50%+0.50
03/06/20264th28/10%79%+0.79