14
La Belle Affaire
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vichy | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Vichy | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 26/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |