7

Label Mess

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 02/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 02/08C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 017/09C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 11/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/11C?4 @ Saint Galmier 24/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS24/014C0 @ Lyon La Soie 18/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/02C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 09/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 09/03C?5 @ Toulouse 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 026/035projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Vichy?0
2026-03-26Toulouse53rd3rd0
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?2nd2nd0
2026-02-18Lyon La Soie?4th4th0
2026-01-24Saint Galmier44th3rd+1
2025-11-11Lyon La Soie?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0824/0126/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
17/09/20253rd9/488%86%-0.02
11/11/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
24/01/20264th3/184%70%-0.14
18/02/20264th15/890%73%-0.17
09/03/20262nd10/147%92%+0.44
26/03/20263rd7/282%83%+0.02