15
Lady D'alex
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Saint Galmier | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 10/12/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/01/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |