2

Le Cap

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 13/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 27/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 027/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 019/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 022/07C?C0 @ Enghien 09/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2025-08-24Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2025-08-09Enghien?11th11th0
2025-07-22Cabourg?11th11th0
2025-04-04Vincennes?0
2025-03-11Enghien?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0429/1222/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20242nd9/153%91%+0.38
21/05/20247th12/137%50%+0.13
27/08/20246th22/10%58%+0.58
29/12/20246th80/10%55%+0.55
19/01/20259th80/10%27%+0.27
02/02/20259th25/10%20%+0.20
22/07/202511th100/10%17%+0.17
09/08/202511th50/10%9%+0.09
01/09/20262nd40/10%92%+0.92