11
Le Grand Massif
5yo Colt · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-31 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/09/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 05/12/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/12/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/02/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |