3
Lellamika
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Agen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 26/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |