10
Liberata
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Saint Galmier | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 22/07/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 92% | +0.04 |
| 16/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |