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Louxor Tonique

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chatelaillon 09/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Cholet 27/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 027/04C?5 @ Nantes 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 014/055C0 @ Vichy 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 010/06C?6 @ Pornichet 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/076C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Vincennes50
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?2nd2nd0
2026-07-02Pornichet61st2nd−1
2026-06-10Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-05-14Nantes51st1st0
2026-04-27Cholet?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1127/0414/0510/062/0728/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/202511th12/137%33%-0.04
27/04/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
14/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
10/06/20262nd4/797%89%-0.08
02/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
28/07/20262nd15/890%89%-0.01