16
Lupin De La Vallee
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Alain David Ads Evenements (cher) - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 26/05/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |