8

Ma Superb Chenou

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#7

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Feurs 07/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 07/04C?C0 @ Vichy 20/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 01/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 01/07C?C0 @ Feurs 18/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 02/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 02/08C?C0 @ Vichy 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Feurs 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/0755 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 04 @ Lyon-Parilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS4/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Lyon-Parilly45th4th+1
2026-08-22Saint Galmier57th7th0
2026-07-03Feurs56th6th0
2026-06-13Vichy50
2026-05-16Vichy?1st1st0
2025-08-02Vichy?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0418/073/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/20254th14/126%75%+0.49
20/05/20254th8/158%57%-0.01
01/07/20256th25/10%38%+0.38
18/07/20253rd10/147%78%+0.30
02/08/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
16/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
03/07/20266th9/153%58%+0.06
22/08/20267th3/184%60%-0.24
04/09/20265th66/10%67%+0.67