8

Ma Superb Chenou
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-16 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 20/05/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 01/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |