11

Manon Des Champs
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#16
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-29 | Lyon La Soie | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 18/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |