11

Manon Des Champs

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#16

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Feurs 07/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 07/04C?C0 @ Feurs 13/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 18/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 018/07C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 19/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 023/08C?5 @ Lyon La Soie 10/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Lyon La Soie 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 019/01C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 05 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 022/085projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saint Galmier59th9th0
2026-07-21Saint Galmier?8th8th0
2026-07-04Vichy61
2026-04-26Lyon-Parilly?0
2026-01-29Lyon La Soie50
2026-01-19Lyon La Soie?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0419/0819/0122/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/20257th40/10%50%+0.50
13/06/20257th12/137%45%+0.09
18/07/20255th25/10%56%+0.56
19/08/20258th40/10%50%+0.50
23/08/20253rd8/158%80%+0.22
10/01/20266th12/137%55%+0.18
19/01/20265th14/126%64%+0.37
21/07/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
22/08/20269th40/10%47%+0.47