1

Mirage Quick

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#14

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 28/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 028/11C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 18/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 018/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-07-04Vichy61
2025-12-18Cagnes-sur-Mer?2nd2nd0
2025-11-28Vincennes?7th7th0
2025-03-14Marseille-borely?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1118/1226/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
18/12/20252nd2/189%92%+0.03
26/08/20269th33/10%33%+0.33