2

Mistral De Larre

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#2

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 18/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/08C?C0 @ Vichy 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 06/09C?4 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 05/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS5/014C0 @ Vincennes 17/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/02C?C0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-06-27Enghien?0
2026-06-17Chartres?0
2026-03-17Enghien?5th5th0
2026-03-09Caen?0
2026-02-17Vincennes?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/086/095/0117/0217/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
06/09/20252nd4/179%88%+0.09
05/01/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
17/02/20268th33/10%36%+0.36
17/03/20265th10/147%64%+0.16