13

Mogador De Latz

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint Galmier 21/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 021/11C?6 @ Nancy 28/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 028/036C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 026/04C?C0 @ Vichy 10/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 010/05C?5 @ Salon-De-Provence 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 021/0555 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 022/085projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saint Galmier54th4th0
2026-05-21Salon-De-Provence53rd3rd0
2026-05-10Vichy?8th8th0
2026-04-26Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0
2026-03-28Nancy67th8th1
2025-11-21Saint Galmier?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1128/0326/0410/0521/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20252nd12/137%92%+0.55
28/03/20267th5/174%40%-0.34
26/04/20266th20/10%55%+0.55
10/05/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
21/05/20263rd33/10%80%+0.80
22/08/20264th10/147%79%+0.31