3

Musique Amour

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Jeff De Bruges Vichy (strasbourg) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 26/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12826/05C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y 12323/08C?C0 @ Vichy 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 029/06C?5 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 022/085C0 @ Vichy 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 1345/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Vichy?1st1st0
2026-08-22Saint Galmier56th6th0
2026-06-29Vichy?1st1st0
2026-06-23Vichy?0
2025-08-23Saint Galmier?3rd3rd0
2025-06-30Vichy?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0523/0829/0622/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20254th100/10%77%+0.77
23/08/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
29/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
22/08/20266th50/10%67%+0.67
05/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24