4

Navy De Caponet

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Bonvin Desmercieres (prix Cloture) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#14

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 24/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 024/06C?5 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 022/085projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saint Galmier55th5th0
2026-06-24Vichy?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +25.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20269th40/10%38%+0.38
22/08/20265th22/10%64%+0.64