16

Neophyte Gigi

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Bonvin Desmercieres (prix Cloture) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#16

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 31/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 031/03C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/04C?5 @ Vichy 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/065projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Vichy?0
2026-06-13Vichy59th9th0
2026-05-28Vichy50
2026-05-16Vichy?0
2026-04-08Lyon-Parilly?8th8th0
2026-03-31Lyon-Parilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/038/0413/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -17.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/03/20266th80/10%55%+0.55
08/04/20268th66/10%22%+0.22
13/06/20269th66/10%20%+0.20