6

Nina De Sassy

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Bonvin Desmercieres (prix Cloture) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 02/076C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?0
2026-07-21Cabourg?11th11th0
2026-07-02Lisieux61st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0721/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -92.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
21/07/202611th16/116%23%+0.07