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9

Noble De Tessel

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Bonvin Desmercieres (prix Cloture) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Vichy 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 028/056C0 @ Vichy 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 023/06C?C0 @ Vichy 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 01/08C?6 @ Vichy 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 012/096projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vichy62nd3rd−1
2026-08-01Vichy?7th7th0
2026-06-29Vichy?0
2026-06-23Vichy?7th7th0
2026-05-28Vichy65th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0523/061/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20265th40/10%64%+0.64
23/06/20267th28/10%54%+0.54
01/08/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
12/09/20262nd22/10%90%+0.90