12

Nuit Des Louanges

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Bonvin Desmercieres (prix Cloture) - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#15

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 06/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 06/09C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 21/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 0C0 @ Saint Galmier 01/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f14y Std 01/02C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 09/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 018/05C?C0 @ Vichy 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 029/06C?5 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 022/085projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saint Galmier57th7th0
2026-06-29Vichy?6th6th0
2026-06-23Vichy?6th6th0
2026-05-18Vichy?7th7th0
2026-03-09Lyon La Soie?5th5th0
2026-02-01Saint Galmier?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/099/0329/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20259th40/10%11%+0.11
21/11/20259th80/10%20%+0.20
01/02/20264th40/10%57%+0.57
09/03/20265th50/10%64%+0.64
18/05/20267th66/10%45%+0.45
23/06/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
29/06/20266th50/10%29%+0.29
22/08/20267th12/137%45%+0.09