9

Napoleon Pan

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Vichy · Prix Groupama Vichy Cusset (px Bourbon) - Monte · 1m 2f 205y

#8

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Agen 02/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 02/046C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 03/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Beaumont-De-Lomagne?9th9th0
2026-04-02Agen67th9th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/043/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -105.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/20267th33/10%60%+0.60
03/09/20269th4/179%33%-0.46