4
Napoli Saint Jean
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Vichy · Prix Groupama Vichy Cusset (px Bourbon) - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saint Galmier | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vichy | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -29.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |