6
Ninio Du Loisir
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Vichy · Prix Groupama Vichy Cusset (px Bourbon) - Monte · 1m 2f 205y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |