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2

Ninja De Chanlecy

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Vichy · Prix Groupama Vichy Cusset (px Bourbon) - Monte · 1m 2f 205y

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 02/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 02/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1259/12C?5 @ Saint Galmier 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 12822/085projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saint Galmier55th6th−1
2025-12-09Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-10-02Cabourg?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/109/1222/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +22.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
09/12/20258th25/10%46%+0.46
22/08/20265th50/10%60%+0.60