9
Figaro De Busset
11yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y
#8
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Feurs | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-01 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-23 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/07/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 19/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/11/2025 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |