10
Grilo
10yo Gelding · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y
#2
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-24 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Toulouse | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-10-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-09-27 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-06-19 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2022-08-30 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2022 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 14/03/2022 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 30/08/2022 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 19/06/2024 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 27/09/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/10/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 04/04/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |