2
Hega Des Landiers
9yo Mare · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 7 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/09/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |