4

Highway De Nappes

9yo Mare · 0-0

Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 14/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 014/12C?C0 @ Vichy 14/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 28/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 028/06C?C0 @ Cavaillon 19/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 023/06C?C0 @ Vichy 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Feurs 17/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 017/075projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-07-17Feurs57th7th0
2026-07-01Vichy?5th5th0
2026-06-23Vichy?3rd3rd0
2025-11-15Lyon-Parilly?8th8th0
2025-10-17Marseille-borely?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1219/0923/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20248th40/10%22%+0.22
14/06/20259th28/10%27%+0.27
28/06/202512th40/10%15%+0.15
19/09/20252nd22/10%91%+0.91
17/10/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
15/11/20258th33/10%46%+0.46
23/06/20263rd17/255%86%+0.30
01/07/20265th8/158%67%+0.09
17/07/20267th28/10%33%+0.33