4

Highway De Nappes
9yo Mare · 0-0
Vichy · Prix Adn Travaux Publics (criterium) - Attele · 7f 219y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Feurs | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/06/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/06/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |